Skip to content

Course home

Conditional Probability

Conditional Probability

EasyMediumHard
123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354555657585960616263646566676869707172737475767778798081828384858687888990919293949596979899100101102103104105106107108109110111112113114115116117118119120121122123124125126127128129130131132133134135136137138139140141142143144145146147148149150151152153154155156157158159160161162163164165166167168169170171172173174175176177178179180181182183184185186187188189190191192193194195196197198199200201202203204205206207208209210211212213214215216217218219220221222223224225226227228229230231232233234235236237238239240241242243244245246247248249250251252253254255256257258259260261262263264265266267268269270271272273274275276277278279280281282283284285286287288289290291292293294295296297298299300301302303304305306307308309310311312313314315316317318319320321322323324325326327328329330
Question 266

The reliability of a deep-sea submersible is monitored via three independent systems. Let S S\,S be the event that the hull integrity sensor triggers an alarm, P P\,P be the event that the power supply stability module reports a fault, and C C\,C be the event that the communication array fails.

Historical data indicates that P(S)=0.35P(S) = 0.35P(S)=0.35, P(P)=0.45P(P) = 0.45P(P)=0.45, and P(S∩P)=0.14P(S \cap P) = 0.14P(S∩P)=0.14.

a.

Determine the probability that the submersible experiences either a hull alarm or a power fault, P(S∪P)P(S \cup P)P(S∪P).

[2]
b.

Calculate P(P′∣S′)P(P' | S')P(P′∣S′), the probability that the power supply is stable given that no hull alarm was triggered.

[3]
c.

The probability of a communication failure is P(C)=0.20P(C) = 0.20P(C)=0.20.

It is known that the hull alarm and communication failure are mutually exclusive events, and the power supply module and communication array operate independently.

Find P(P∩C)P(P \cap C)P(P∩C).

[2]
d.

Describe the configuration of a Venn diagram for events SSS, PPP, and CCC, and state the probabilities for each of the six distinct regions.

[4]
e.

Find the probability that neither a power fault nor a communication failure occurs, P((P∪C)′)P((P \cup C)')P((P∪C)′).

[2]
Markscheme

Conditional Probability Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /Conditional Probability

368 exam-style questions on Edexcel A Level Maths Conditional Probability, covering 2.1 Set Notation, 2.2 Conditional Probability, 2.3 Conditional Probabilities in Venn Diagrams, 2.4 Probability Formulae, and 2.5 Tree Diagrams. Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

Question bank