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Conditional Probability

Conditional Probability

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Question 258

In a reliability study of an automated irrigation system, two specific failure modes are monitored:

EEE: the system experiences an electrical sensor failure. WWW: the system experiences a water pressure drop.

From historical maintenance data, it is found that:

P(E′∩W)=0.12andP(E′∩W′)=0.68 P(E' \cap W) = 0.12 \quad \text{and} \quad P(E' \cap W') = 0.68 P(E′∩W)=0.12andP(E′∩W′)=0.68
a.

Find P(E)P(E)P(E).

[2]
b.

Find P(E∪W)P(E \cup W)P(E∪W).

[1]
c.

Given that the probability of an electrical failure, given a water pressure drop, is P(E∣W)=0.4P(E|W) = 0.4P(E∣W)=0.4,

calculate P(E∩W)P(E \cap W)P(E∩W).

[3]
d.

Determine, with justification, whether the events EEE and WWW are independent.

[2]
Markscheme

Conditional Probability Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /Conditional Probability

330 exam-style questions on Edexcel A Level Maths Conditional Probability, covering 2.1 Set Notation, 2.2 Conditional Probability, 2.3 Conditional Probabilities in Venn Diagrams, 2.4 Probability Formulae, and 2.5 Tree Diagrams. Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

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