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Conditional Probability

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Question 245

Two students, Alice and Bob, occasionally miss their morning lectures. Let event AAA be the event that Alice misses the lecture and event BBB be the event that Bob misses the lecture. The probabilities are given as:

P(A)=0.40,P(A∩B)=0.12andP(A′∩B′)=0.55 P(A) = 0.40, \quad P(A \cap B) = 0.12 \quad \text{and} \quad P(A' \cap B') = 0.55 P(A)=0.40,P(A∩B)=0.12andP(A′∩B′)=0.55

Find the probability that on a randomly chosen day:

a.

At least one of Alice or Bob misses the lecture.

[1]
b.

Bob misses the lecture.

[2]
c.

Given that Alice missed the lecture, find the probability that Bob also missed it.

[2]
d.

The professor believes that Bob missing the lecture might be related to Alice missing the lecture. Determine whether or not events AAA and BBB are statistically independent.

[2]
e.

Comment on the professor's belief in light of your answer to part (d).

[1]
Markscheme

Conditional Probability Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /Conditional Probability

367 exam-style questions on Edexcel A Level Maths Conditional Probability, covering 2.1 Set Notation, 2.2 Conditional Probability, 2.3 Conditional Probabilities in Venn Diagrams, 2.4 Probability Formulae, and 2.5 Tree Diagrams. Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

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