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Conditional Probability

Conditional Probability

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Question 242

The operational lifespan, LLL hours, of a specific high-performance drone motor is modelled by a normal distribution such that L∼N(150,122)L \sim N(150, 12^2)L∼N(150,122).

a.

Determine the probability that a motor chosen at random has a lifespan exceeding 175175175 hours.

[2]
b.

Calculate (i) the upper quartile (Q3Q_3Q3​) of LLL (ii) the lower quartile (Q1Q_1Q1​) of LLL

[3]
c.

A motor's lifespan is classified as an outlier if it is greater than Q3+1.5×(Q3−Q1)Q_3 + 1.5 \times (Q_3 - Q_1)Q3​+1.5×(Q3​−Q1​) or smaller than Q1−1.5×(Q3−Q1)Q_1 - 1.5 \times (Q_3 - Q_1)Q1​−1.5×(Q3​−Q1​).

Find the lower and upper limits for outliers for these drone motors.

[3]
d.

A drone motor is selected for testing.

By standardising the limits found in part (c), show that the probability that this motor is not an outlier is 0.9930.9930.993 to 3 decimal places.

[3]
e.

Given that the motor's lifespan is not an outlier,

showing your working, determine the probability that the motor lasts less than 140140140 hours.

[4]
Markscheme

Conditional Probability Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /Conditional Probability

330 exam-style questions on Edexcel A Level Maths Conditional Probability, covering 2.1 Set Notation, 2.2 Conditional Probability, 2.3 Conditional Probabilities in Venn Diagrams, 2.4 Probability Formulae, and 2.5 Tree Diagrams. Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

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