Conditional Probability
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A farmer plants three varieties of tomato seeds: Variety A, Variety B, and Variety C. Variety A makes up 35% of the crop, Variety B makes up 45%, and Variety C makes up 20%.

The probability that a seed fails to germinate is:

  • 2.5% for Variety A
  • 1.5% for Variety B
  • 5.0% for Variety C
a.

Draw a tree diagram to show this information.

[3]
b.

A seed is selected at random. Find the probability it fails to germinate.

[2]
c.

Given that a seed failed to germinate, find the probability it was Variety B.

[3]

Conditional Probability Questions

Practise Edexcel A Level Maths Conditional Probability with exam-style questions for A Level Maths. 100 questions covering Set Notation, Conditional Probability, Conditional Probabilities in Venn Diagrams, Probability Formulae, and Tree Diagrams, matched to the Edexcel A Level Maths (9MA0) specification and written in Paper 1, Paper 2 and Paper 3 style. Every question includes a full worked solution and mark scheme, so you can see where marks are awarded rather than just whether you got the answer right.

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Conditional Probability Questions

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