An economy operating at its trend level of output at the end of 2025 has a trend rate of growth of 4% per year. Real GDP increases by 1.5% in 2026 and 5% in 2027.
Which one of the following accurately describes the position of the economy at the end of each year?
2026: Negative output gap; 2027: Negative output gap
2026: Negative output gap; 2027: Positive output gap
2026: Positive output gap; 2027: Negative output gap
2026: Positive output gap; 2027: Positive output gap