An atmospheric scientist monitors the concentration of a synthetic coolant gas, C C\,C parts per trillion (ppt), in the stratosphere. The scientist believes the concentration has been growing exponentially since the start of 2005 and proposes the model C=p×qnC = p \times q^{n}C=p×qn where n n\,n is the number of years after 2005, and p p\,p and q q\,q are constants.
A graph of log10C\log_{10} Clog10C against n n\,n is plotted, and the resulting line of best fit has the equation: log10C=0.052n+0.86\log_{10} C = 0.052n + 0.86log10C=0.052n+0.86
(i) Show that, correct to three significant figures, p=7.24p = 7.24p=7.24.
(ii) Find the value of qqq, giving your answer to three significant figures.
Based on the model, determine the annual percentage increase in the concentration of the gas.
(i) Estimate the concentration of the gas at the start of 2025.
(ii) State one reason why this estimate might be inaccurate.
Practise Edexcel A Level Maths Regression, Correlation and Hypothesis Testing with exam-style questions for A Level Maths. 100 questions covering Exponential Models, Measuring Correlation, and Hypothesis Testing for Zero Correlation, matched to the Edexcel A Level Maths (9MA0) specification and written in Paper 1, Paper 2 and Paper 3 style. Every question includes a full worked solution and mark scheme, so you can see where marks are awarded rather than just whether you got the answer right.