The population of a specific bacteria colony (NNN) recorded h h\,h hours after an experiment began is shown in the table below.
| hhh | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| NNN | 190 | 290 | 660 | 2300 | 7900 | 18000 |
The data is coded using the changes of variable x=hx = hx=h and y=log10Ny = \log_{10} Ny=log10N.
The regression line of y y\,y on x x\,x is found to be y=2.10+0.18xy = 2.10 + 0.18xy=2.10+0.18x.
Given that the data can be modelled by an equation in the form N=abhN = ab^hN=abh where a a\,a and b b\,b are constants, find the values of a a\,a and b b\,b to 3 significant figures.
Give an interpretation of the constant a a\,a in this equation.
Explain why this model might not be reliable for predicting the population after 1 week.
Practise Edexcel A Level Maths Regression, Correlation and Hypothesis Testing with exam-style questions for A Level Maths. 100 questions covering Exponential Models, Measuring Correlation, and Hypothesis Testing for Zero Correlation, matched to the Edexcel A Level Maths (9MA0) specification and written in Paper 1, Paper 2 and Paper 3 style. Every question includes a full worked solution and mark scheme, so you can see where marks are awarded rather than just whether you got the answer right.