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4.5 Role of the state in the macroeconomy

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Question 3

Figure 1: Aldoria's public sector net debt as a percentage of GDP

Year% of GDP
201555
201657
201758
201860
201961
202082
202185
202284
202386
202488
202589
202688
202787
202886
2029 (est.)84

Figure 2: Aldoria's public sector net borrowing (PSNB) ($ billion)

YearPSNB ($ billion)
2015-45
2016-50
2017-48
2018-55
2019-60
2020-220
2021-140
2022-110
2023-125
2024-130
2025-105
2026-85
2027-70
2028-55
2029 (est.)-40

Extract A

Personal Income Tax and Labor Market Incentives

The government of Aldoria is considering raising the top marginal rate of personal income tax from 40% to 47% for high earners to address the expanding fiscal deficit. Proponents argue this progressive direct tax increase will generate vital revenue while promoting social equity. However, critics point out that high marginal tax rates can distort labor supply decisions, encouraging tax avoidance, emigration of highly skilled workers, or a reduction in hours worked. This could diminish the country's long-term tax base and weaken entrepreneurial drive, ultimately harming productivity.

Conversely, some labor economists argue that the income effect of a tax rise might dominate for many high earners, who may work longer hours to maintain their post-tax target income. Furthermore, if the revenue is earmarked for public services that support workers (such as childcare subsidies), the overall impact on labor market participation could be highly positive.

Extract B

Green Infrastructure and Long-Run Productive Capacity

To achieve its fiscal consolidation targets, the Aldorian government has also considered deferring or cutting back its multi-billion dollar public investment in the national green energy grid and high-speed rail networks. While reducing capital expenditure provides an immediate improvement in the fiscal deficit, economists warn of severe long-term consequences.

A modern green energy grid and efficient transport infrastructure are critical public goods that lower operational costs for private firms and facilitate regional connectivity. Under-investment in infrastructure creates structural bottlenecks, deters private foreign direct investment (FDI), and dampens long-run aggregate supply (LRAS). By contrast, maintaining public capital spending, even when funded by borrowing, can create a powerful 'crowding-in' effect for private investment, expanding the economy's productive capacity and generating long-term tax receipts that more than offset the initial debt.

With reference to the information provided and your own knowledge, evaluate the microeconomic and macroeconomic effects of a government policy of raising direct taxes (such as personal income tax) rather than reducing public expenditure on green infrastructure as a means of reducing a fiscal deficit.

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4.5 Role of the state in the macroeconomy Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Economics
  3. /4.5 Role of the state in the macroeconomy