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2.2.6 Determinants of long-run aggregate supply

LRAS Shows the Economy's Productive Capacity and Shifts Only When That Capacity Changes

Definition

Long-run aggregate supply: the total output an economy can produce when all its factors of production are fully and efficiently employed, determined by productive capacity and shown by a vertical curve at the normal capacity level of output.

  1. Long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) represents the economy's productive capacity.
  2. It does not depend on the price level in the same way as SRAS.
  3. A rightward shift shows long-run, or potential, economic growth.
  4. In the classical (monetarist) view, the LRAS curve is vertical at the normal capacity, or full-employment, level of output.
Note
  • LRAS depends on the quantity and quality of factors of production.
  • A rightward shift in LRAS is potential growth.

Supply-side Factors Shift LRAS to the Right

  1. Technology, productivity and investment raise capacity.
  2. Enterprise, factor mobility and economic incentives matter too.
  3. Demographic change and migration alter the size of the workforce.
  4. Attitudes to work and enterprise also matter, as does the institutional structure of the economy; for example, a sound banking system that provides funds for business investment raises long-run capacity.
Example
  • Investment in new capital shifts LRAS to the right.
  • Improved education raises the quality of labour and lifts LRAS.

Causes of a shift in the AS curve in the short run (SRAS) an

Only Capacity Changes Shift LRAS, Not Temporary Cost Changes

  1. A temporary cost change shifts SRAS, not LRAS.
  2. LRAS moves only when capacity itself changes.
  3. So the two shifters are different.

The Classical (Monetarist) and Keynesian AS Curves Have Different Shapes

  1. The classical (monetarist) long-run AS curve is vertical at full-employment output.
  2. The Keynesian AS curve has three sections.
  3. The two rest on different views of wage and price flexibility.
Note
  • The classical (monetarist) curve is vertical at full capacity.
  • The Keynesian curve is horizontal, then upward-sloping, then vertical.

Each Shape Rests on a Different View of Wages and Prices

  1. The classical (monetarist) view assumes flexible wages and prices.
  2. The Keynesian view assumes wages are sticky, especially downward.
  3. So the Keynesian curve has a flat section at low output.
Example
  • On the flat section, output can rise with little effect on the price level.
  • On the vertical section, extra demand only raises the price level.

The Shape Decides Whether Demand Can Raise Long-run Output

  1. The classical (monetarist) view implies demand cannot raise long-run output.
  2. The Keynesian view implies demand management can raise output when there is spare capacity.
  3. So the shape decides the policy conclusion.
Note
  • Which curve is more useful depends on how much spare capacity the economy has.
  • In a deep recession with high unemployment the flat Keynesian section fits, so demand stimulus can raise real output; near full capacity the vertical section fits, so extra demand mainly raises prices.

Draw Both Curves with the Axes Labelled Correctly

Exam technique
  • Draw the Keynesian curve with flat, rising and vertical sections.
  • Draw the classical (monetarist) curve as vertical at full-employment output.
  • Label the axes average price level on the vertical axis and real output on the horizontal axis.
Common Mistake
  • Do not draw the Keynesian curve as a single straight line.
  • It has a horizontal, an upward-sloping and a vertical section.
Self review
  • What does LRAS represent, and what determines its position?
  • Name four determinants that can shift LRAS to the right.
  • What shape is the classical (monetarist) LRAS curve, and at what level of output?
  • What are the three sections of the Keynesian AS curve?
  • Why does the choice of AS curve change the case for demand-side policy?
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AD-AS diagram with downward-sloping AD curve and LRAS shifting right from LRAS1 at Y1 to LRAS2 at Y2, showing higher potential output

Long-run aggregate supply (LRAS) is the maximum sustainable level of real output an economy can produce when resources are fully and efficiently employed. It measures productive potential, not a temporary boom caused by strong spending.

In the short run, some wages and contracts are sticky, so SRAS can slope upward. In the long run, wages, prices and expectations adjust, so the classical LRAS curve is vertical, and a rightward shift means more non-inflationary growth.

"Full employment" does not mean zero unemployment. Frictional and structural unemployment can still exist even when the economy is operating at its sustainable capacity.

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LRAS is the maximum sustainable level of [     ] produced when resources are [     ].

2.2.6 Determinants of long-run aggregate supply Revision Guide

  1. A Level
  2. /Economics
  3. /2.2.6 Determinants of long-run aggregate supply