Ways of writing one result
- A set of results can be reported as a fraction, a decimal, a percentage, a ratio or in standard form, and the form chosen is the one that makes the finding clearest.
- One value can take several of those forms at once, so 12 correct out of 40 is 3/10, 0.3 and 30%.
- Spread, precision, the shape of a distribution and estimation are all reported alongside the mean, median and mode.
- The same result can be written as a fraction, a decimal or a percentage without changing what it says, so 12 out of 40 and 30% are the same finding.
- A number carries a claim about precision as well as a value, so 7.4 and 7.4166 are not the same answer even when they come from the same data.
- Spread matters as much as an average, because two classes with the same mean can have very different ranges.
Fractions, decimals and percentages
- Fraction: the part written over the whole, so 12 correct out of 40 is 12/40.
- Divide top and bottom by the same number to simplify, so dividing 12/40 by 4 gives 3/10.
- Decimal: divide the top of the fraction by the bottom, so 12 divided by 40 gives 0.3.
- Percentage: a part out of 100, found by multiplying the decimal by 100, so 0.3 becomes 30%.
- To reverse that step, divide the percentage by 100, so 30% goes back to 0.3.
- A percentage lets two groups of different sizes be compared, because 12 out of 40 and 30 out of 100 are both 30%.
- A percentage comes from dividing by the total and then multiplying by 100, so 12 out of 40 is 30% and not 12%.
- Raw counts from samples of different sizes are not comparable, since 12 correct out of 40 is 30% while 20 correct out of 100 is only 20%.
Ratios
- A ratio compares one part with another part rather than with the whole, written with a colon between the two amounts.
- Simplify a ratio the way a fraction is simplified, by dividing both sides by a common factor.
- Keep the amounts in the order the question names them, so passes to fails is 12:28 and not 28:12.
- In a recall test, 12 of the 40 pupils remembered every word and the other 28 did not.
- Fraction: 12/40, and dividing both parts by 4 gives 3/10.
- Decimal: 12 divided by 40 gives 0.3.
- Percentage: 0.3 multiplied by 100 gives 30%.
- Ratio of passes to fails: 12:28, and dividing both sides by 4 gives 3:7.
- The fraction is measured against the total of 40 while the ratio is measured against the 28 who failed, which is why 3/10 and 3:7 look so different.
Standard form
Standard form
A way of writing very large or very small numbers as a value between 1 and 10 multiplied by a power of ten, for example 2400 written as 2.4 x 10 to the power 3.
- Standard form writes an awkward number as a value between 1 and 10 multiplied by a power of ten.
- Move the decimal point until one non-zero digit sits in front of it, then count the places it moved.
- Moving the point left gives a positive power, and moving it right gives a negative power.
- Psychology uses it for large samples and for very short times, both of which are clumsy written out in full.
- A screening study tests 2400 people and records a mean difference in reaction time of 0.0035 seconds.
- 2400: the point moves three places left, giving 2.4 x 10 to the power 3.
- Check it by multiplying 2.4 by 1000, which gives 2400 back.
- 0.0035: the point moves three places right, giving 3.5 x 10 to the power minus 3.
- Check it by dividing 3.5 by 1000, which gives 0.0035 back.
Significant figures and decimal places
Significant figures
The digits in a number that carry meaning, counted from the first non-zero digit. Reporting a value to a set number of them shows how precise the result is.
- Significant figures are counted from the first non-zero digit, whichever side of the decimal point that digit falls on.
- Decimal places are counted only from the point onwards, so they ignore every digit in front of it.
- The two counts usually give different answers for the same number.
- In 7.42 there are three significant figures and two decimal places.
- In 0.0035 the first significant figure is the 3, giving two significant figures and four decimal places.
- A result is reported to a precision the data can carry, because spare digits look exact without being exact.
- Zeros in front of the first non-zero digit are never significant figures, while zeros between digits are, so 1.05 has three.
- Rounding decides how the answer is reported and does not make the calculation behind it any more accurate.
Rounding
- Find the place being rounded to, then look at the single digit immediately after it.
- Round up when that digit is 5 or more, and leave the digit unchanged when it is less than 5.
- Round once at the end of a calculation, because rounding part way through changes the final answer.
- Worked example: the total of a set of recall scores divided by the number of participants gives 7.4166 on the calculator.
- To two decimal places: the third decimal is 6, which is 5 or more, so 7.41 rounds up to 7.42.
- To two significant figures: count the 7 and the 4, then look at the 1, which is less than 5, so the answer stays 7.4.
- Reporting 7.4 words out of 20 matches the data, while reporting 7.4166 claims a precision a small sample cannot support.
Choosing a level of precision
- The precision of an answer matches the precision of the original measurements.
- A count of people finishes as a whole number, because there is no such thing as part of a participant.
- Reaction times timed to a tenth of a second stay at one decimal place, however many digits the calculator offers.
- A count of people rounds to a whole number such as 7, so a mean reported as 7.42 people describes nobody in the study.
- The calculator display carries more digits than the study measured, since no instrument in it was precise to that many places.
The range
Range
A measure of spread found by subtracting the lowest value from the highest value in a dataset. It shows how varied the data are.
- The range measures spread, also called dispersion, so it answers a different question from an average.
- It is calculated by subtracting the lowest value from the highest value.
- The larger the range, the more widely the scores are spread.
- Two classes can share one mean and still have very different ranges, which is why the two figures are reported side by side.
- The range is reported in the same units as the data, so a spread of 9 words recalled is written as 9 words.
- Worked example: seven pupils score 3, 5, 5, 6, 8, 9 and 12 words on a recall task.
- The highest score is 12 and the lowest score is 3.
- The range is 12 minus 3, which is 9 words.
- The seven scores total 48, so the mean is 48 divided by 7, which is 6.86 words to two decimal places.
- Reported next to that mean, a range of 9 words tells a reader the group was far from consistent.
Outliers
Outlier
A value that lies far away from the rest of the data. It can distort the mean and stretch the range.
- An outlier is a value far away from the rest of the data.
- Because the range uses only the two end values, a single outlier controls it.
- In the set 3, 5, 5, 6, 8, 9 and 12 the range of 9 comes from the lone score of 12, while five of the seven scores sit within 4 words of each other.
- Taking that outlier out leaves six scores running from 3 to 9, giving a range of 6 words instead of 9.
- When two ranges are compared, an extreme score in either set can be the reason they differ.
- The range is a measure of spread rather than an average, because spread and typical value are separate pieces of information.
- The range rests entirely on the two end values, so one unusual score stretches it, as the score of 12 does in that set.
Normal distribution
Normal distribution
A symmetrical, bell-shaped spread of data in which most values cluster around the middle and fewer lie at each extreme, so the mean, median and mode all fall at the centre.
- A normal distribution is a symmetrical, bell-shaped spread of data with one peak in the middle.
- Most scores cluster near the centre and the numbers thin out steadily towards each extreme.
- Its defining feature is that the mean, median and mode all take the same value and sit under the peak.
- Human characteristics such as height, reaction time and IQ follow the pattern once the sample is large enough.
- Recognising the shape shows which scores count as typical and how rare a score at either extreme is.
- Worked example: nine pupils score 4, 5, 5, 6, 6, 6, 7, 7 and 8, a set that is symmetric about 6.
- Mean: the nine scores total 54, and 54 divided by 9 is 6.
- Median: the fifth of the nine ordered scores is the middle one, which is 6.
- Mode: 6 appears three times and no other score appears as often, so the mode is 6.
- All three averages meet at 6, which is what a normal distribution predicts.
- On a larger scale, IQ tests are scaled to a mean of 100, with most people near 100 and few at either extreme.
Recognising a skewed distribution
- A skewed distribution has its peak towards one end rather than in the middle, so the curve is not symmetrical.
- In a skewed set the mean, median and mode no longer share a value.
- The mean shifts furthest towards the long tail because it uses every score, so a gap between the mean and the mode is a sign of skew.
- A normal distribution is symmetrical, so a lopsided curve is not one however smooth it looks.
- The mean, median and mode meet at the same value only where the distribution is symmetrical.
Estimation
Estimation
A quick, rough calculation, usually made by rounding the numbers, used to judge roughly what size an answer should be.
- Estimating means rounding the data to easy numbers and working out a rough answer before the exact sum.
- Round each value to a number that can be added or multiplied mentally, usually the nearest ten.
- An expected value can be estimated from a proportion the same way, so a quarter of 200 people gives about 50.
- The estimate and the exact answer are then held next to each other.
- A close match between them indicates the exact calculation is sound.
- A large gap points to a misplaced decimal point, a missing zero or a division done the wrong way round.
- The exact calculation gives the result, and the estimate only checks it.
- Worked example: in a recall study 48 participants each remember about 21 words, and the grand total is wanted.
- Estimate: round 48 to 50 and 21 to 20, then 50 multiplied by 20 gives about 1000 words.
- Exact: 48 multiplied by 21 is 1008 words.
- The two figures sit close together, so the exact calculation is sound.
- A slip of one decimal place would have given 100.8 or 10080, and the estimate would have caught it at once.
Turning this into marks
- When a figure and its meaning are both asked for, keep them as two separate points, one giving the calculation and one saying what the figure shows about the data.
- Name whether significant figures or decimal places are wanted, because 7.4166 gives 7.42 to two decimal places and 7.4 to two significant figures.
- Show the working line, so 12 divided by 40 equals 0.3, which is 30%, rather than the percentage on its own.
- The mark most often lost is quoting the range without its units.
- Write 15 out of 60 as a fraction, a decimal and a percentage.
- Simplify the ratio 10:15, then write 5300 in standard form.
- Round 12.678 to one decimal place, then to two significant figures.
- Find the range of 4, 7, 7, 10 and 15, and explain why one outlier can make a range misleading.
- Estimate the total of 19 scores of about 31 each, then say where the mean, median and mode fall in a normal distribution.