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3.8.3 Impact of externality policies

3.8.3 Impact of externality policies

A tax works best when demand responds

  1. How far the quantity falls depends on the size of the tax and on the price elasticity of demand, covered in 2.2.6, and the elasticity is the part the government cannot choose.
  2. Where demand is inelastic, as with petrol and tobacco, the tax raises a lot of revenue and changes the activity very little.
  3. A tax can still work in that case if it is banded, because the producer can escape it by changing the product rather than the buyer changing the purchase.
Case study
  • The average sugar content of drinks covered by the Soft Drinks Industry Levy fell by almost 50% between 2015 and 2024, while volume sales rose 13.5% (Source: DHSC).
  • The Institute for Fiscal Studies puts the effect at roughly 18 fewer calories a person a day, with nearly 80% of that coming from producers reformulating rather than buyers switching (Source: IFS).
  • That is the clearest lesson available: this tax worked on what was made, not on what people chose, and a flat tax would have achieved far less.

A subsidy works only if take-up follows

  1. Lowering the price does not complete the job, because the household still has to decide to act and to find the remainder of the cost.
  2. Take-up is weakest where the amount left to pay is large, which is why heat pump grants reach far fewer homes than the number eligible.
  3. Some of the money also goes to people who would have bought the good anyway, so part of the spending buys no change in behaviour at all.

Regulation depends on enforcement, not the rule

  1. A ban or a legal charge can change behaviour within weeks, which is faster than any tax or campaign manages.
  2. That speed only appears where the rule is policed, since an unenforced limit changes nothing and costs the government its credibility.
  3. Regulation also applies to everyone equally, so it does not let the better-off carry on by simply paying the charge.

Information provision is cheap but works slowly

  1. Information changes what people want rather than what they can afford, so its effect lasts once the campaign has stopped.
  2. It is also the slowest tool, because a change in what counts as normal behaviour takes years and cannot be dated to a single measure.
  3. Its real value is as part of a package, since UK smoking policy stacked duty, the ban in enclosed public places, plain packaging, NHS campaigns and free stop-smoking services together.
Common Mistake
  • Do not conclude that a policy worked because the figure improved after it, since other things changed at the same time.
  • Do not judge a policy against perfection, because the test is whether it moved the quantity closer to what society would choose.

Reaching a judgement on how well policies work

  1. It depends on how responsive demand is, because an inelastic good needs regulation or reformulation rather than a price signal.
  2. It depends on whether the harm can be measured, because a tax can only be set against an external cost that somebody has put a number on.
  3. It depends on enforcement, because the strictest rule on paper achieves nothing if breaking it carries no consequence.
  4. It depends on how long is allowed, because a campaign judged after a year and a ban judged after a month are not being tested on the same terms.
  5. Overall: the policies with the strongest UK evidence behind them are the ones that changed the product or made the alternative easy, such as the sugar levy and the bag charge, while taxes on inelastic goods mainly raise revenue and information alone shifts behaviour only over many years.
Exam technique
  • Quote the figure from the data and say what it means, rather than describing the change as a big improvement.
  • Name the condition the policy's success rests on, because that condition is what turns a description into an evaluation.
Self review
  • Why does a tax on petrol raise revenue without cutting driving much?
  • Why did the Soft Drinks Industry Levy change what was produced rather than what was bought?
  • Give one reason a subsidy can fail even though it lowers the price.
  • Why does regulation only work where it is enforced?
  • Reach a judgement: which policy has the strongest evidence behind it, and why?
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An externality policy is successful if it moves consumption or production closer to the level that society would choose while reducing the external cost. A fall in the harmful activity after a policy is introduced is not automatically proof that the policy caused it, because other factors may have changed too.

The impact of a policy depends on demand responsiveness, whether the external cost can be measured, enforcement, and the time allowed for the policy to work. A strong evaluation names the condition on which success depends rather than simply describing the outcome.

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What determines how far a tax reduces quantity demanded?

3.8.3 Impact of externality policies Revision Guide

  1. GCSE
  2. /Economics
  3. /3.8.3 Impact of externality policies

Revision notes for OCR GCSE Economics 3.8.3 Impact of externality policies: explanations and worked examples.

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