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2.4.5 Normal distribution as a model (A-level only)

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Question 8
i.

The thickness, SSS mm, of a mechanical shim has a normal distribution S∼N(1.45,0.042)S \sim N(1.45, 0.04^2)S∼N(1.45,0.042) and the thickness, KKK mm, of a spacer has a normal distribution K∼N(1.52,0.052)K \sim N(1.52, 0.05^2)K∼N(1.52,0.052). An engineer uses 5 independent shims and one spacer for a high-precision assembly. Find the probability that the combined thickness of the 5 shims is less than 5 times the thickness of the spacer.

[5]
a.

Two independent random samples X1,X2,X3,X4,X5X_1, X_2, X_3, X_4, X_5X1​,X2​,X3​,X4​,X5​ and Y1,Y2,Y3,Y4,Y5Y_1, Y_2, Y_3, Y_4, Y_5Y1​,Y2​,Y3​,Y4​,Y5​ are each taken from a normal population with mean μ\muμ and standard deviation σ\sigmaσ.

Find the distribution of the random variable D=Y1−XˉD = Y_1 - \bar{X}D=Y1​−Xˉ.

[2]
b.

Hence show that P(Y1>Xˉ+σ)=0.1807P(Y_1 > \bar{X} + \sigma) = 0.1807P(Y1​>Xˉ+σ)=0.1807 correct to 4 decimal places.

[2]
c.

A researcher believes that P(U1>Uˉ+σ)=0.1807P(U_1 > \bar{U} + \sigma) = 0.1807P(U1​>Uˉ+σ)=0.1807 for any random sample U1,U2,U3,U4,U5U_1, U_2, U_3, U_4, U_5U1​,U2​,U3​,U4​,U5​ taken from the same normal population. Explain briefly why the result from part (b) should not be used to confirm the researcher's belief.

[1]
d.

Find, correct to 3 decimal places, the actual value of P(U1>Uˉ+σ)P(U_1 > \bar{U} + \sigma)P(U1​>Uˉ+σ).

[3]

2.4.5 Normal distribution as a model (A-level only) Questions

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