Measuring living standards
- Real national income per head is the headline monetary indicator of living standards.
- It must be real to strip out inflation and per capita to allow for population size, then converted at purchasing power parity to compare across countries.
- Income alone misses health, education and distribution, so non-monetary and composite indicators are used alongside it.
- Monetary indicators measure average income, adjusted to be real, per head and comparable at PPP.
- Non-monetary and composite indicators capture health, education and poverty that income figures omit.
Monetary indicators
GDP per head: the value of output produced within a country in a year, ÷ population.
GNI per head: GDP + net primary income earned from abroad, ÷ population.
NNI per head: GNI − depreciation (capital consumption), ÷ population.
Purchasing power parity (PPP): a conversion that values incomes by what they actually buy locally, not at the market exchange rate.
- GNI exceeds GDP where residents earn large net income abroad, such as remittances or profits on overseas assets.
- NNI is the most complete measure because it nets off the capital equipment worn out in producing the output.
- At the market rate a dollar buys more in a low-price economy, so PPP raises the measured income of many developing countries and makes the comparison fairer.
- Suppose a country's nominal GDP is $600bn, its price index rises from 100 to 120 (a 20% rise) and its population is 40 million.
- Deflating first shows real income per head is $12,500; using the un-deflated figure would overstate the rise in living standards.
Issues of comparison
- Market exchange rates swing with capital flows and can misvalue a currency, distorting cross-country comparisons, which is why PPP is preferred.
- Non-marketed output and the informal economy are hard to value, and they are a larger share of activity in developing economies, so their income is understated.
- An average conceals distribution: two countries with the same mean income can have very different poverty if one is far more unequal.
- Data reliability differs between statistical agencies, and over time figures must be adjusted for both inflation and population change.
- Higher measured income does not always mean higher welfare if it brings pollution, congestion or longer working hours.
- This is why non-monetary and composite indicators are used alongside income.
Non-monetary indicators
- Health indicators include life expectancy at birth, infant mortality and doctors per thousand people.
- Education indicators include the adult literacy rate and mean years of schooling.
- Living-condition indicators include access to clean water, sanitation and daily calorie intake.
- Two economies with similar income per head can differ sharply: one may have life expectancy of 80 years and near-universal literacy, the other 60 years and 60% literacy.
- Non-monetary indicators expose that gap, showing income has been used very differently for health and education.
Composite indicators
Human Development Index (HDI): a composite index from 0 to 1 combining GNI per head at PPP, life expectancy and years of schooling.
Measure of Economic Welfare (MEW): national income adjusted up for leisure and unpaid work and down for costs such as pollution.
Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI): an index combining the share of people who are poor with the intensity of their deprivation across health, education and living standards.
- The HDI ranks countries on a broader base than income, so a resource-rich state with poor schooling can rank below a poorer but better-educated one.
- The MEW tries to correct GDP for wellbeing, but valuing leisure and pollution is subjective and rarely published officially.
- The MPI is useful for targeting policy because it shows which deprivations, such as no clean water, are most common.
- Suppose life expectancy is 72 years and the HDI goalposts are a minimum of 20 and a maximum of 85 years.
- An index of 0.80 (about 80% of the way to the maximum) is one of three dimension indices; the health, education and income indices are then combined as a geometric mean to give the overall HDI.
- Composite indices are richer than income alone but still involve judgements about which dimensions to include and how to weight them.
- The standard HDI omits inequality, the environment and political freedoms unless adjusted versions are used.
The Kuznets curve
Kuznets curve: a hypothesised inverted-U relationship in which income inequality first rises then falls as income per head increases.
- Early industrialisation widens the gap as a modern, high-wage urban sector grows alongside a poorer traditional rural sector.
- As development continues, wider education, social spending and progressive taxes redistribute income and narrow the gap.
- The turning point is not automatic: some economies have grown much richer while inequality kept rising.
- On the diagram, inequality is on the vertical axis and real income per head on the horizontal axis, tracing an inverted U.
- The peak marks the income level beyond which further growth is associated with falling inequality, though the evidence is mixed.
Which indicator gives the truest picture of development?
- In favour of monetary indicators, real GNI per head at PPP is objective, widely available and comparable, and it correlates strongly with health and education, so income remains a reasonable first guide to development.
- Against this, an average income hides distribution and the informal economy and ignores non-material welfare such as pollution and freedoms, so a high figure can mask deprivation; composite indices such as the HDI and MPI capture more, but they still rely on arbitrary weights and the standard HDI omits inequality and the environment.
- The best choice also depends on the purpose: GNI per head at PPP for a broad ranking, the MPI for targeting poverty, and the HDI for a rounded comparison of living standards.
- On balance, no single measure is sufficient, so a basket combining monetary, non-monetary and composite indicators gives the truest picture, with the weight on each depending on the question being asked.
- State what each indicator captures before you judge it.
- Always specify real, per capita and PPP-adjusted when using monetary indicators.
- Bring in a composite index or a non-monetary indicator to strengthen a judgement about development.
- Do not confuse GDP, GNI and NNI, since each treats income from abroad and depreciation differently.
- Do not present the Kuznets curve as a law, because the fall in inequality is not guaranteed.
- How do GDP, GNI and NNI per head differ?
- Why is PPP used when comparing incomes between countries?
- Name the three composite indicators and state what each measures.
- What relationship does the Kuznets curve describe, and why might it not hold?
- Give two limitations of using monetary indicators alone.