The current account balance
Balance of trade in goods and services: the combined balance on trade in goods and trade in services, often called net exports.
Current account balance (CAB): the sum of the balances on trade in goods, trade in services, primary income and secondary income over a period.
The four balances
Balance of trade in goods = exports of goods − imports of goods
Balance of trade in services = exports of services − imports of services
Balance of trade in goods and services = balance on goods + balance on services
Current account balance = balance on goods and services + net primary income + net secondary income
- A positive balance is a surplus and a negative balance is a deficit.
- The overall sign comes only from the full total, since components can offset one another.
Worked example
- An economy reports four components in a year, all in £bn, on a GDP of £1,200bn.
- Trade in goods: exports £300bn and imports £380bn.
- Trade in services: exports £150bn and imports £90bn.
- Net primary income of +£12bn and net secondary income of −£7bn.
- Work through the balances in order, then size the result as a % of the £1,200bn GDP.
- The economy runs a current account deficit of £15bn, about 1.25% of GDP, with the services surplus partly offsetting the goods deficit.
Reading the result
- A surplus on services partly offsets the deficit on goods in this example.
- Positive net primary income narrows the deficit, while negative net secondary income widens it.
- Changing any single component by £1bn changes the CAB by £1bn in the same direction.
- Whether a £15bn deficit matters depends on its size relative to GDP and on how easily it is financed.
- Work out each balance in order: goods, then services, then the income flows.
- State whether the final CAB is a surplus or a deficit and show your working.
- Express the CAB as a % of GDP to judge how significant it is.
- Do not leave out primary or secondary income when finding the CAB.
- Watch the signs, because a negative income flow reduces the total.
- How do you calculate the balance of trade in goods?
- How do you calculate the balance of trade in goods and services?
- What must be added to the trade balance to reach the CAB?
- If goods are −£80bn, services +£60bn, primary +£12bn and secondary −£7bn, what is the CAB?
- Express a £15bn deficit as a % of £1,200bn GDP.
