Rising energy demand
Definition
Energy demand
The amount of energy that consumers need over a given period of time.
- Energy demand across the world has risen steadily for more than a century and is still rising.
- One cause is population growth, since every extra person needs energy for food, warmth, light and travel.
- A second cause is economic development, because as countries industrialise, more people buy cars, fridges, air conditioners and phones.
- Energy use per person is far higher in wealthy countries such as the UK than in many developing countries, but demand is now growing fastest in developing countries.
- Fossil fuels still supply most of the world's energy, because they are reliable, the technology already exists and many countries have their own reserves.
- The UK bucks the global trend, as its total electricity demand has fallen since the mid-2000s.
- That fall is explained by more energy-efficient appliances, LED lighting, better home insulation and the decline of heavy industry such as steelmaking.
Daily and seasonal patterns
Definition
Peak demand
The time of day or year when the rate of electricity use is at its highest.
- Electricity demand follows a pattern that repeats every day, and a second pattern that repeats every year.
- Demand is lowest in the early hours of the morning, when most people are asleep and most businesses are closed.
- It rises quickly from about 6 am as people wake up, switch on kettles and lights, and travel to work and school.
- Peak demand normally comes in the early evening, when people arrive home, cook meals and turn on lights, televisions and heating.
- Demand is higher in winter than in summer, because evenings are darker and more homes use electric heating.
- Electricity cannot easily be stored in large amounts, so power stations must match the supply to the demand second by second.
- Nuclear power stations provide a steady base load, because they run best at a constant output and take hours to change it.
- Gas-fired power stations and hydroelectric stations cover the peaks, because they can raise their output within minutes.
- Pumped storage stations such as Dinorwig in Snowdonia pump water uphill when demand is low and release it through turbines within seconds when demand peaks.
- Solar output peaks around midday in summer, which does not match the winter evening peak, so other resources must fill the gap.
Example
Reading a daily demand curve
- A graph shows the electricity demand of a country over one winter day.
- The lowest point is about 22 GW22\ \text{GW}22 GW at 4 am, so the trough falls in the middle of the night when activity is at its lowest.
- Demand climbs to about 34 GW34\ \text{GW}34 GW by 9 am, which matches people starting work and school.
- The peak of about 40 GW40\ \text{GW}40 GW arrives at about 6 pm, when cooking, lighting and heating all add together.
- The difference between peak and trough is 40−22=18 GW40 - 22 = 18\ \text{GW}40−22=18 GW, and this extra output must come from power stations that can be switched on and off quickly.
Changes in the UK over time
- In 1990 about two-thirds of the UK's electricity was generated from coal.
- During the 1990s, many new gas-fired power stations were built, because North Sea gas was cheap and these stations were quicker to build and released less carbon dioxide than coal.
- Coal use fell sharply during the 2010s as the government added a cost to carbon emissions and tightened air pollution rules, and the last coal power station closed in 2024.
- The share of electricity from renewable resources grew from only a few per cent in 2000 to around half by the mid-2020s, with wind now the largest single contributor.
- Renewables grew because the cost of wind turbines and solar panels fell dramatically and because the UK made a legal commitment to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050.
- Nuclear power has supplied a smaller share in recent years as older reactors reached the end of their working lives, although a new station, Hinkley Point C, is being built in Somerset.
- In transport, oil still supplies most of the energy used, but sales of electric cars are rising each year.
- In heating, most UK homes still burn natural gas, but electric heat pumps are slowly being installed in their place.
Reasons behind the trends
- Cost: a resource is used more when it becomes cheaper than its rivals, which is why gas replaced coal and wind is now replacing gas.
- Availability: countries use resources they have locally, so Norway generates almost all its electricity from hydroelectricity because it has many steep, wet valleys.
- Environmental concern: worries about climate change and air pollution have pushed countries away from coal and towards low-carbon resources.
- Government policy: taxes on carbon, subsidies for renewables and targets for cutting emissions all shift the mix of resources.
- Technology: larger offshore turbines, cheaper solar cells and large batteries have made renewable resources more practical.
- Security of supply: when gas prices rose steeply in 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, many countries sped up plans to depend less on imported gas.
- Reliability: however cheap wind and solar become, a country still needs some resources that can generate on a calm, dark evening.
Example
Explaining a trend from data
- A bar chart shows that in one country coal supplied 40%40\%40% of electricity in 2012 and 2%2\%2% in 2022, while wind supplied 5%5\%5% in 2012 and 30%30\%30% in 2022.
- Describe the coal trend first, quoting the data: coal fell from 40%40\%40% to 2%2\%2% over ten years.
- Give a reason for it: burning coal releases the most carbon dioxide per unit of energy, so carbon taxes made it expensive.
- Describe the wind trend next: wind rose from 5%5\%5% to 30%30\%30% over the same period.
- Give a reason for that: the cost of building wind farms fell and wind releases no carbon dioxide while generating.
- Link the two trends, since wind generation partly replaced the electricity that coal had supplied.
Common Mistake
- Do not explain a rise in renewables by writing "because they are renewable", since you must give a reason such as falling cost, lower emissions or government targets.
- Do not confuse a falling percentage share with a falling amount, because a resource's share can drop while the total energy it supplies stays the same or rises.
- Do not treat electricity as the whole of energy use, because transport and heating still rely heavily on oil and gas.
Exam technique
Describing and explaining trends
- Describe what the data shows before you explain it, because the description and the explanation usually earn separate marks.
- Quote figures with their units or percentage signs and state the years they come from.
- Use the words increases, decreases, peaks and stays roughly constant so that the direction of change is unmistakable.
- Give a physics or economic reason for every trend you describe, rather than describing several trends and explaining none of them.
Self review
- Give two reasons why world energy demand continues to rise.
- At what time of day does UK electricity demand usually peak, and why?
- Explain why gas-fired and hydroelectric power stations are used to meet peak demand.
- Describe how the share of UK electricity generated from coal changed between 1990 and 2024.
- State two reasons why the use of wind power in the UK has grown.