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4.1 Probability (A-level only)

4.1 Probability (A-level only)

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Question 142

A high-precision manufacturing plant uses two independent-looking monitoring systems, Alpha and Beta, to detect micro-faults during production. Let AAA be the event that system Alpha flags a defect and BBB be the event that system Beta flags a defect. During a routine audit, the following probabilities were established:

P(A)=0.25,P(A∩B)=0.05andP(A′∩B′)=0.68 P(A) = 0.25, \quad P(A \cap B) = 0.05 \quad \text{and} \quad P(A' \cap B') = 0.68 P(A)=0.25,P(A∩B)=0.05andP(A′∩B′)=0.68

Calculate the probability that for a single production unit:

a.

At least one of the monitoring systems flags a defect.

[2]
b.

System Beta flags a defect.

[2]
c.

Given that system Alpha flags a defect, determine the probability that system Beta also flags it.

[2]
d.

A quality control engineer suspects that the triggering of system Beta is linked to the performance of system Alpha. Determine whether or not events AAA and BBB are statistically independent.

[2]
e.

Comment on the engineer's suspicion in light of your answer to part (d).

[1]
Markscheme

4.1 Probability (A-level only) Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /4.1 Probability (A-level only)

164 exam-style questions on WJEC A Level Maths 4.1 Probability (A-level only), covering 4.1.1 Probability (A-level only), 4.1.2 Probability (A-level only), and 4.1.3 Probability (A-level only). Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

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