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2.5.10 Correlation as closeness to a straight line (A-level only)

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Question 40

A researcher is studying the relationship between the daily average temperature, ttt in ∘C^{\circ}\text{C}∘C, and the daily electricity consumption, eee in megawatt-hours (MWh), for a small town. A random sample of 10 days is taken and the results are recorded.

The data are summarised as follows:

n=10,∑t=184,∑e=412,∑e2=17540,Stt=226.4,Ste=−198.8 n = 10, \quad \sum t = 184, \quad \sum e = 412, \quad \sum e^2 = 17540, \quad S_{tt} = 226.4, \quad S_{te} = -198.8 n=10,∑t=184,∑e=412,∑e2=17540,Stt​=226.4,Ste​=−198.8
a.

Calculate the product moment correlation coefficient between ttt and eee.

[2]
b.

Give an interpretation of your product moment correlation coefficient in the context of the study.

[1]
c.

Find the equation of the least squares regression line of eee on ttt in the form e=a+bte = a + bte=a+bt.

[3]
d.

Give an interpretation of the value of bbb in your regression line.

[1]
e.

(i) Use the regression line from part (c) to estimate the electricity consumption for a day with an average temperature of 25∘C25^{\circ}\text{C}25∘C.

(ii) Comment on the reliability of your answer in part (i) given that the range of temperatures in the sample was 12∘C12^{\circ}\text{C}12∘C to 22∘C22^{\circ}\text{C}22∘C.

[2]
f.

Using the regression line from part (c), the researcher estimates that for a temperature decrease of x ∘Cx \, ^{\circ}\text{C}x∘C there will be an increase of 555 MWh in electricity consumption.

Find the value of xxx.

[2]

2.5.10 Correlation as closeness to a straight line (A-level only) Questions

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