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2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only)

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Question 76

The continuous random variable HHH is used to model the operational lifespan in months, hhh, of a specialized high-pressure seal used in deep-sea exploration probes.

The probability that a seal remains functional for more than hhh months is given by the survival function

P(H>h)=64(h+8)2,h≥0 P(H > h) = \frac{64}{(h+8)^2}, \quad h \ge 0 P(H>h)=(h+8)264​,h≥0
a.

Show that the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of HHH is given by

F(h)={1−64(h+8)2h≥00otherwise F(h) = \begin{cases} 1 - \frac{64}{(h+8)^2} & h \ge 0 \\ 0 & \text{otherwise} \end{cases} F(h)={1−(h+8)264​0​h≥0otherwise​
[2]
b.

Determine the probability that a randomly selected seal will fail within the first 2 months of operation.

[2]
c.

Given that a seal has already remained functional for 2 months, find the probability that it will last for at least 30 more months.

[3]
d.

Calculate the number of months after which only 25%25\%25% of these seals are expected to remain functional.

[2]

2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only) Questions

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