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2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only)

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Question 21

Amira cycles to college. On any given day, the probability that it rains is 0.3.

If it rains, the probability that Amira is late is 0.4. If it does not rain, the probability that Amira is late is 0.1.

a.

Find the probability that Amira is late on a randomly chosen day.

[2]
b.

Given that Amira is late on a particular day, find the probability that it rained that day. Give your answer to 3 significant figures.

[3]
c.

Assuming that whether Amira is late on one day is independent of whether she is late on another day, find the probability that she is late on exactly one of two consecutive days.

[2]
d.

State, with a reason, whether the assumption used in part (c) is reasonable.

[1]
Markscheme

2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only) Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Maths
  3. /2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only)

164 exam-style questions on AQA A Level Maths 2.3.2 Conditional probability (A-level only). Each one has a worked solution and a mark scheme showing where the marks go.

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