3.4.4a Characteristics and concentration ratios
Oligopoly Characteristics
Oligopoly: a market structure dominated by a few large firms that between them supply most of the market.
Interdependence: the situation where each firm's decisions directly affect its rivals, so firms must anticipate one another's reactions.
Concentration ratio: the combined market share of the largest few firms in a market.
- A high concentration ratio is a defining feature, because just a few firms account for most sales.
- Firms are interdependent, so each anticipates how rivals will react before it changes price or output.
- Products are usually differentiated through branding, quality and marketing, which gives each firm some pricing power and encourages non-price competition.
- High barriers to entry and exit protect established firms, which is why the leading firms can hold their market power over time.
Why interdependence matters
- With only a few rivals, one firm's price cut or advertising push is large enough to pull custom away from the others, so it cannot be ignored.
- Each firm must therefore judge how rivals will respond before it acts, and this uncertainty is what drives the strategic behaviour typical of oligopoly.
The concentration ratio
CRn=S1+S2+…+Sn CR_n = S_1 + S_2 + \ldots + S_n CRn=S1+S2+…+Sn- The n-firm concentration ratio adds together the market shares of the largest n firms, so it measures how much of the market they control between them.
- The five-firm ratio is the most common, and the result is read against the whole market of 100%.
Suppose the five largest firms hold market shares of 30%, 25%, 15%, 10% and 8%. Add these shares together:
CR5=30%+25%+15%+10%+8%=88% CR_5 = 30\% + 25\% + 15\% + 10\% + 8\% = 88\% CR5=30%+25%+15%+10%+8%=88%A five-firm ratio of 88% signals a highly concentrated market, much like UK supermarkets or energy suppliers.
Significance of the ratio
- A high ratio signals a concentrated, oligopolistic market where a few firms hold significant market power.
- A low ratio suggests a more competitive market with many rivals and little dominance.
- The ratio therefore places a market on the spectrum of competition and can prompt scrutiny by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA).
- Calculate the concentration ratio, then use it to describe the market structure.
- Support any claim of oligopoly with the characteristics of high concentration, interdependence, differentiated products and high barriers to entry.
- Do not define oligopoly by the number of firms alone, as it is defined by high concentration and interdependence.
- Do not treat a high concentration ratio as proof of collusion, since it shows structure rather than how firms actually behave.
- List the main characteristics of oligopoly.
- What does interdependence between firms mean?
- Why do oligopolists differentiate their products?
- Work out the five-firm concentration ratio for shares of 30%, 25%, 15%, 10% and 8%.
- What does a high concentration ratio tell you about a market?
3.4.4b Collusion and game theory
Collusion and Game Theory
Collusion: when firms cooperate, formally or informally, to act like a single monopolist and raise their joint profit.
Non-collusive behaviour: when firms act independently and compete, each trying to win at its rivals' expense.
- Because an oligopoly has a few large, interdependent firms (see 3.4.4a), each firm's best move depends on how its rivals are likely to react.
- This gives firms two broad options: collude to raise joint profit and cut uncertainty, or compete, which risks price wars that erode profit.
- Even when firms collude, each still has a private incentive to cheat by undercutting the agreed price, which is what makes collusion unstable.
Overt and tacit collusion
Overt collusion: a formal agreement between firms, such as a cartel that fixes prices or restricts output.
Cartel: a group of firms that formally agree to fix prices or restrict output to raise price towards the monopoly level.
Tacit collusion: an informal understanding with no explicit agreement, often achieved through price leadership.
Price leadership: where a dominant firm sets the price and smaller rivals follow it.
- A cartel restricts total output and shares the market, so price rises towards the monopoly level and joint profit increases.
- Price leadership lets firms coordinate without any explicit agreement, as often seen in fuel retailing when a large chain moves its pump prices first.
- Cartels are illegal in the UK and investigated by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA), which has fined firms in sectors such as construction, dairy and pharmaceuticals for price fixing.
Reasons to collude or compete
- Firms collude to raise joint profits, reduce the uncertainty of interdependence and deter new entrants.
- Collusion holds best with few firms, similar cost structures, easy monitoring of rivals' prices and stable demand.
- Firms compete non-collusively because of the incentive to cheat, legal penalties, mistrust between rivals and the desire to win market share.
- Collusion is harder to sustain where there are many firms, differentiated products or unstable demand, so firms may compete instead.
Game theory and the prisoner's dilemma
Game theory: the study of interdependent decisions, where each firm's payoff depends on its own choice and its rival's choice.
Payoff matrix: a grid showing the profit each firm earns for every combination of the two firms' choices.
Dominant strategy: the choice that gives a firm the higher payoff whatever its rival does.
Nash equilibrium: an outcome where no firm can do better by changing its own choice alone.
- In a simple two-firm, two-outcome model each firm chooses either to hold the collusive high price or to cheat by cutting price.
- Cutting price is the dominant strategy for both firms, because each earns more by cutting whatever its rival chooses to do.
- So both cut and settle at the Nash equilibrium, even though both would have earned more by colluding: this is the prisoner's dilemma.
- The same logic that makes cheating individually rational is exactly why any cartel is fragile and hard to hold together.
- If both firms hold the high price they each earn £10m, but if one cheats while the other holds, the cheat earns £14m and the loyal firm only £4m.
- Fearing the rival will cheat, each cuts price and both end up at the £6m Nash equilibrium, worse than the £10m collusive outcome.
Does collusion harm consumers?
- It holds because collusion mimics monopoly: higher prices, restricted output and allocative inefficiency (P > MC), so consumers pay more and receive less.
- It can also breed inefficiency, because with less competitive pressure colluding firms may innovate less and drift into x-inefficiency.
- But there can be offsetting gains: stable prices reduce uncertainty, and the supernormal profit may fund research and dynamic efficiency.
- On balance it depends on whether that profit is reinvested and whether collusion even survives, since the incentive to cheat and CMA enforcement often break cartels down and return gains to consumers.
- Read any payoff matrix and identify each firm's dominant strategy and the Nash equilibrium.
- Explain the incentive to cheat that makes collusion unstable, then judge whether collusion is likely to hold.
- Do not assume oligopolists always collude, because incentives to cheat and legal penalties push firms towards competition.
- Do not treat collusion as stable, since each firm gains by undercutting the cartel.
- Do not confuse overt collusion, a formal cartel, with tacit collusion, an informal understanding.
- What is the difference between overt and tacit collusion?
- Give two reasons why firms collude and two reasons why they compete.
- In the prisoner's dilemma, what is a dominant strategy?
- Why does each firm have an incentive to cheat on a cartel?
3.4.4c Price and non-price competition
Competition in Oligopoly
Price competition
Price war: a cycle of repeated, matched price cuts as rival firms in an oligopoly undercut one another to win market share.
Predatory pricing: deliberately setting price below average cost to drive existing rivals out of the market; it is illegal in the UK under competition law.
Limit pricing: setting price low enough to deter potential entrants, holding it below the level at which entry would be profitable.
- Oligopolists are interdependent, so one firm's price cut provokes a matched response; because the rival copies it, neither wins lasting market share and both end up with thinner margins, which is why open price competition is risky.
- In a price war consumers gain lower prices in the short run, but as margins are squeezed weaker firms may exit, so choice can fall later; the UK grocery contests between Tesco, Asda and the discounters Aldi and Lidl show this pattern.
- Predatory pricing works in two stages: the predator absorbs losses while price sits below cost until financially weaker rivals leave, then it raises price above the competitive level to recoup those losses and exploit the thinner market, so the early loss is an investment in future monopoly power.
- Limit pricing sacrifices some short-run supernormal profit so that the low price signals to entrants that they could not cover costs at the scale they could achieve; it works only where the incumbent has a cost advantage from economies of scale, protecting long-run market power.
Non-price competition
Non-price competition: attracting and keeping customers by methods other than a lower price, such as advertising, branding, quality and loyalty schemes.
- Advertising and branding build awareness and a distinct image, as with Coca-Cola or Apple, raising the value customers place on the product.
- Product differentiation through quality, design and features makes goods feel distinct and harder for rivals to imitate.
- Loyalty schemes such as the Tesco Clubcard or Nectar reward repeat custom and raise the switching cost of moving to a rival.
- After-sales service and innovation, such as warranties and new models, add value at the current price rather than cutting it.
Why non-price competition dominates
- Because rivals are interdependent, a price cut is quickly matched so no firm wins lasting sales while margins shrink for all, and an open price war can be mutually destructive; firms therefore tend to hold price steady and shift their rivalry onto non-price methods instead.
- Successful advertising shifts the firm's average revenue (AR) curve to the right and makes it steeper, so demand becomes more price-inelastic and the firm can hold a higher price without losing many sales.
- Strong brands also act as a barrier to entry, since a new rival must spend heavily on advertising to match recognition; this spending is largely a sunk cost, which deters entry and defends long-run profit.
Is non-price competition in the consumer interest?
- It can serve consumers well because advertising that informs, alongside genuine quality gains and innovation, raises choice and supports dynamic efficiency funded from oligopoly profit.
- It also lets firms build stable revenue and market share without a damaging price war that might eventually force exit and reduce choice.
- But persuasive advertising may create wants rather than inform, and its cost raises average cost, which can be passed on to consumers as higher prices while entrenched brands make entry harder.
- On balance it depends on the type used: informative advertising and real quality improvements benefit consumers most, whereas purely persuasive spending that blocks entry mainly harms them.
- Name a specific method, then build the chain to higher profit, market share or barriers to entry.
- Explain that the method makes demand more inelastic, so the firm can hold a higher price.
- Distinguish predatory pricing, which removes existing rivals, from limit pricing, which deters new entrants.
- Support each point with a real UK firm as evidence.
- Do not confuse non-price competition with predatory or limit pricing, which are forms of price competition.
- Advertising works on the demand side and does not shift the supply curve.
- Remember advertising is a cost that raises average cost and can act as a sunk-cost barrier to entry.
- What is the difference between predatory pricing and limit pricing?
- Name four methods of non-price competition.
- Why does non-price competition dominate in oligopoly?
- What happens to a firm's demand curve if its advertising succeeds?
- Give one benefit and one cost of non-price competition.