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4.1.8 Exchange rates

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Question 12

Extract A

UK technology firms turn to forward contracts

The Bristol-based electronics assembler Aether Technologies recently increased its use of forward contracts in the foreign exchange market to manage the impact of exchange rate volatility. The depreciation of sterling throughout 2022 has put immense pressure on UK electronic importers. Currently, Aether Technologies imports key components like microchips and sensors from suppliers in Taiwan and the USA. "Because our manufacturing inputs are primarily priced in US dollars, exchange rate movements have an immediate and severe impact on our production costs and margins," explains the Operational Director. Forward contracts allow businesses to guarantee a specific exchange rate for future transactions, providing certainty over costs despite short-term market fluctuations. To mitigate rising import costs, 40% of surveyed UK technology supply chain managers are actively seeking to switch to domestic UK suppliers.

Figure 1: Value of £1 in US Dollars ($ per £), January 2022 – May 2023

MonthPrice of £1 in US dollars ($ per £)
Jan 20221.35
Feb 20221.34
Mar 20221.32
Apr 20221.28
May 20221.24
Jun 20221.21
Jul 20221.19
Aug 20221.16
Sep 20221.11
Oct 20221.12
Nov 20221.16
Dec 20221.20
Jan 20231.22
Feb 20231.21
Mar 20231.23
Apr 20231.24
May 20231.25

Using the information provided in Extract A and Figure 1, examine the likely impact of the change in the sterling exchange rate on the UK economy.

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4.1.8 Exchange rates Questions

  1. A Level
  2. /Economics
  3. /4.1.8 Exchange rates