The Government Pursues Four Main Macroeconomic Objectives, and in the Short Run They Can Pull Against One Another
Definition
Macroeconomic objectives: the main goals a government sets for the economy as a whole, principally economic growth, price stability, minimising unemployment and a stable balance of payments on the current account.
- The four main objectives are economic growth, price stability (low and stable inflation), minimising unemployment and a stable balance of payments on the current account.
- Governments may also pursue wider objectives, such as balancing the budget, achieving a more equitable distribution of income and protecting the environment.
- Each objective is judged against a headline indicator, which the next topics examine in detail.
Note
- The four core objectives are economic growth, price stability, minimising unemployment and a stable current account.
- The objectives can conflict, at least in the short run, so policy involves trade-offs.
Each Objective Matters for Living Standards and Economic Stability
- Economic growth, measured by rising real GDP and real GDP per capita, raises incomes and living standards over time.
- Price stability protects the value of money and helps households and firms plan; the UK target is 2 per cent CPI inflation, set for the Bank of England.
- Minimising unemployment means labour is used more fully, avoiding lost output and the hardship of joblessness.
- A stable balance of payments on the current account means the country broadly pays its way with the rest of the world, avoiding large and persistent deficits.
Note
- Growth is tracked by real GDP and real GDP per capita, not nominal GDP.
- Inflation is measured by the CPI, with the RPI as an older measure; unemployment by the unemployment rate; and the external position by the current account.
The Objectives Can Conflict with Each Other, at Least in the Short Run
- Growth against price stability: when the economy nears full capacity, faster growth creates demand-pull inflation.
- Where spare capacity exists, growth need not raise inflation.
- Unemployment against price stability: as unemployment falls and the labour market tightens, wage and price pressures build, a short-run trade-off illustrated by the Phillips curve.
- With fewer unemployed workers to hire, firms must offer higher wages to attract and keep staff, and these higher labour costs are passed on as higher prices.
- Growth against the balance of payments: faster growth pulls in imports through the marginal propensity to import, worsening the current account.
- Export-led growth is the exception.
- Inflation against the balance of payments: higher domestic inflation erodes competitiveness and widens a current account deficit, while a weaker currency can feed import-price inflation, so the link runs both ways.
- A balanced budget against growth: cutting a deficit through fiscal consolidation can slow growth and raise unemployment in the short run.
Note
- A trade-off means that improving one objective comes at the cost of another.
- Most conflicts arise because several objectives depend on the same level of aggregate demand.
In the Long Run, Supply-side Improvements Can Ease the Trade-offs
- The conflicts are sharpest in the short run, when productive capacity is broadly fixed.
- Over the long run, raising productive capacity through supply-side policy can deliver growth with low inflation and a stronger external position at the same time.
- Policy therefore manages the conflicts rather than removing them, and some short-run sacrifice is usually unavoidable.
Example
- In a boom, unemployment can fall to around 3 to 4 per cent while demand-pull inflation rises above the 2 per cent target.
- After 2010, fiscal consolidation aimed at reducing the deficit weighed on growth and employment.
Note
- Priorities shift over time: full employment dominated after the war, controlling inflation took priority from the late 1970s, and in 1997 the Bank of England was made independent with an inflation target.
- More recently, growth, environmental sustainability and inequality have all gained weight.
Exam technique
- Do not just list the objectives; explain why each matters and name the indicator that measures it.
- When asked about conflicts, name the specific pair and the mechanism, for example faster growth raising imports and worsening the current account.
Self review
- Name the four main macroeconomic objectives.
- Why does price stability matter?
- Give three examples of objectives that can conflict in the short run.
- Why might faster growth worsen the current account?
- How can supply-side policy ease the trade-offs between objectives?